While value of homes in Victoria remains stable, the cost to own continues to rise

The Victoria Real Estate Board has released their latest statistics for the month of September. The following is an excerpt from their press release.

A total of 493 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this September, 20.2 per cent more than the 410 properties sold in September 2022 and a 9.4 per cent decrease from August 2023. Sales of condominiums were up 23 per cent from September 2022 with 155 units sold. Sales of single family homes increased 3.2 per cent from September 2022 with 228 sold.

“What we saw in our market last month was a continuation of the seasonal market trend we expect in a typical year as we move into fall,” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol. “We have seen a slight return to a more balanced market in recent weeks. Our inventory right now features almost a thousand more listings for sale than we saw than at the start of this year.”

There were 2,699 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of September 2023, an increase of 8.4 per cent compared to the previous month of August and a 17.3 per cent increase from the 2,300 active listings for sale at the end of September 2022.

“That increase in inventory means there are more properties for prospective buyers,” Sol notes. “More inventory also means buyers may have more time to shop, though in many of our local markets a wellpriced property will sell rapidly, and we’re still seeing some multiple offer situations. The challenge of the day is that there are many buyers who hope to find homes in the missing middle – families who seek two- or three-bedroom homes at attainable price points – who are challenged by our current interest rate environment. Though housing prices have remained reasonably stable this year, the cost of carrying a mortgage has increased tremendously. This means that many first-time buyers and families are unable to purchase homes in our current market. With so many variables at play in each of the micro markets within Greater Victoria, it’s a good time to meet with your Realtor to discuss strategy if you are considering a move.”

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in September 2022 was $1,299,500. The benchmark value for the same home in September 2023 increased by 1 per cent to $1,312,200, which is down from August’s value of $1,323,900. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in September 2022 was $581,500, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in September 2023 increased by 1.4 per cent to $589,600, which is up from the August value of $582,000.

Victoria Real Estate Market Update September 2023 - MacLeod Group | Sotheby’s Realty Victoria, BC - 1.png

This chart tracks the ratio of total residential sales over total active residential listings at month-end for each of the last 25 months. The active listing count and the sales count can be viewed as indicators of housing supply and demand respectively. Observing the ratio between them can thus help indicate a "buyers' market", where there is downward pressure on prices, and a "sellers' market", where there is upward pressure on prices.

  • below 10%, there is downward pressure on prices (buyers' market)

  • above 25%, there is upward pressure on prices (sellers' market)

  • in the 15-20% range, there is little pressure on prices either way